Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.108256 0.125164 0.143611 0.165203 0.189749 0.216754 0.248681
2024-12-22 0.080203 0.102000 0.127880 0.160749 0.201247 0.249366 0.310718
2024-12-29 0.066339 0.091728 0.124175 0.168381 0.226696 0.300602 0.400917
2025-01-05 0.054241 0.080942 0.117414 0.170329 0.244477 0.343909 0.486391
2025-01-12 0.043532 0.069743 0.107820 0.166337 0.252951 0.375138 0.558888
2025-01-19 0.035933 0.061466 0.100712 0.164261 0.263072 0.408909 0.637798
2025-01-26 0.032339 0.058619 0.101068 0.173010 0.289739 0.468838 0.760363
2025-02-02 0.029166 0.055821 0.100916 0.180640 0.315163 0.529004 0.888791
2025-02-09 0.024391 0.049353 0.093622 0.175298 0.318641 0.554695 0.965098
2025-02-16 0.021058 0.044888 0.089045 0.173796 0.328001 0.590262 1.060018
2025-02-23 0.017903 0.040179 0.083275 0.169240 0.331232 0.615439 1.139271
2025-03-02 0.015391 0.036296 0.078450 0.165679 0.335594 0.642555 1.223689
2025-03-09 0.013874 0.034304 0.077141 0.168906 0.353292 0.695602 1.359968
2025-03-16 0.011831 0.030769 0.072170 0.164165 0.355150 0.719977 1.446628
2025-03-23 0.011089 0.030104 0.073165 0.171836 0.382350 0.794140 1.632118
2025-03-30 0.009994 0.028380 0.071575 0.173761 0.398004 0.847477 1.782451
2025-04-06 0.008645 0.025745 0.067508 0.169664 0.400522 0.875113 1.885014
2025-04-13 0.007601 0.023700 0.064501 0.167533 0.406934 0.910967 2.006639
2025-04-20 0.007278 0.023567 0.066127 0.176432 0.438600 1.001342 2.245893
2025-04-27 0.006914 0.023247 0.067230 0.184196 0.468450 1.090273 2.488845
2025-05-04 0.005987 0.021072 0.063204 0.178755 0.467143 1.112407 2.593005
2025-05-11 0.005340 0.019614 0.060851 0.177223 0.474861 1.154732 2.743489
2025-05-18 0.004658 0.017889 0.057487 0.172584 0.474483 1.178887 2.856037